An Emerson College poll released Friday show Joe Biden ahead of President Trump nationally by just four points, 50%-46%.
Emerson is a respected polling outfit. It’s not a bunch of kids doing a science project.
If we go into Election Day with Biden up just four points in the polls, Trump wins the Electoral College, and maybe the popular vote too.
A majority of voters, 53%, think Trump will win the election.
Here is some more of the breakdown:
Biden also leads Trump with those aged 18-29 (63% to 27%), those 30-49 (56% to 41%), those living in urban areas (68% to 28%), and those living in suburban areas (51% to 44%). Trump leads Biden among those aged 50-64 (55% to 44%), those 65 or more (58% to 39%), and those living in rural areas (67% to 31%).
Regarding Trump’s overall job approval as president, 45% of voters approve and 51% disapprove, a slight increase in both numbers from June (43% favorable /50% unfavorable). Among Independent voters, 42% approve and 55% disapprove.